Monday, March 25, 2013

Hillary Clinton has no shot in 2016

The giddiness prevalent in some circles over a possible candidacy in an election more than three years away is cringe-worthy. The candidate in question? Hillary Clinton, of course. The circles in question? Our illustrious media. The stuff it already all over the place. Look at this piece that appeared at Bloomberg yesterday. Entitled "Clinton Is Strongest-Ever Frontrunner," it's a leg-tingling panegyric filled with suppositions and assumptions. Like this:
Ask almost any Democrat and the automatic assumption is that Clinton will be the party’s 2016 nominee; a top West Virginia Democrat predicts she would carry that state, which President Barack Obama lost 62 percent to 35 percent in 2012. Ask most Republicans who has the best shot to be the 45th President, and they’ll acknowledge it is Clinton.
What Republicans is this guy talking to? Most will probably acknowledge that Clinton is likely to be the Democrat nominee in 2016, but best shot to be the next President? Please. On what basis? Because a bunch of pseudo-intellectual partisan media hacks fall all over themselves every time Ms. Clinton enters the room? Talk about living in a bubble.

And the idea that Clinton would automatically carry West Virginia, that's just stupid. Unsurprisingly, there's no name given for this "top West Virginia Democrat," because no one with any political acumen whatsoever would openly say something so stupid. Could Clinton win West Virginia in 2016? Sure, why not. But is she likely to? No, of course not. And making a prediction in this regard without knowing who her opponent is just can't be justified, much less taken seriously.

The Bloomberg piece does recognize that Clinton's 2008 run at the nomination basically collapsed, but somehow wants to put all the blame for that on Clinton's campaign manager and chief strategist, apparently forgetting that part of what makes a good candidate is the ability to pick the right people for the job.

Which brings us to Clinton's long list of foibles.

Benghazi. Talk about dropping the ball, this situation is still haunting Clinton and if she is the nominee in 2016, it will come back with a vengeance, make no mistake about that.

The scandals of the (Bill) Clinton era. They're not front and center right now, Whitewater, Travelgate, the "vast right-wing conspiracy," and others, but they'll all get another turn in the spotlight. So too will "Hillarycare," especially if Obamacare continues its downward spiral in popularity as the realities begin to hit home with the American public.

Lying. She's made an ass of herself on multiple occasions with bald-faced lies, like the infamous "running for cover from sniper fire" story, ultimately debunked by that political heavyweight, the comedian Sinbad.

Her 2008 campaign. The multitude of missteps then are not going to be forgotten, either. Remember her faux Southern accent, when she didn't "feel noways tired"? Walter Williams summed up that debacle:
"I don't feel no ways tired. I come too far from where I started from. Nobody told me that the road would be easy. I don't believe He brought me this far," drawled presidential aspirant Hillary Clinton, mimicking black voice to a black audience, at the First Baptist Church of Selma, Alabama. I'm wondering if Mrs. Clinton visits an Indian reservation she might cozy up to them saying, "How! Me not tired. Me come heap long way. Road mighty rough. Sky Spirit no bring me this far." Or, seeking the Asian vote she might say, "I no wray tired. Come too far I started flum. Road berry clooked. Number one Dragon King take me far."
Oh, maybe she's learned from all of her mistakes, right? Maybe that's what makes her so formidable. Sure. Because in 2016, everything will be different; political stupidity in the past will be magically ignored or forgiven, even though that's not the lesson the past teaches at all.

The Bloomberg piece ends with quite possibly the most ridiculous thing I've ever seen in print:
With Clinton -- who has rebounded from a defeat better than any recent presidential aspirant, including Reagan post-1976 -- Democrats want to fall in line. Republicans are desperate to find a candidate to love.
Wait, what? Getting appointed to the position of Secretary of State is a better political rebound from defeat that getting elected President? Twice. Outright silliness.

And if history teaches us anything, it's that absolute sure things often end up being anything but. The Titanic was unsinkable, the Colts were unbeatable (1968-69), Germany could not be defeated (twice), and on and on and on. And for those with extremely short memories, Al Gore couldn't lose in 2000 (he was "the greatest Vice-President in history" after all), the Tea Party would cost the Republicans big in 2010, and--as much as it pains me to say it--Obamacare would never survive the Supreme Court.

The more people tout Hillary Clinton in 2016 as a sure-fire winner, the more I am certain of one thing: she'll never win.

Cheers, all.

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